Tuesday 19 January 2016

Army power in Asia 'shifting against' the US, major statement alerts

The study, which calls for The united states to flex its army muscle in the area, will likely be seized on by Conservatives who accuse Obama of weak management. The balance of army power in Asia is shifting in opposition to the US as China makes competitive territorial moves, a major independent statement will warn on Wednesday.

Barack Obama’s “pivot to Asia”, a major plan shift first defined in 2011, is mired in confusion against a history of a “significantly more complicated” global security picture, the researchers argue.The research by the Center for Ideal and Global Studies (CSIS), a leading California think tank, calls for America to flex its military muscle in the region by setting up extra nuclear attack submarines and building advanced long-range missiles.

The report was commissioned by the Department of Defense at the behest of Congress and is set to be discussed at a hearing of the Senate armed services committee. It is likely to be seized on by Republican presidential candidates who accuse Obama of weak leadership in the face of a rising China, resurgent Russia and nuclear-armed North Korea.

“Chinese and North Korean actions are routinely difficult the reliability of US security commitments, and at the current rate of US capability development, the balance of army power in the region is shifting against the United States,” the report states. “Robust funding is needed to apply the re-balance.”

Obama had hoped his international policy shift towards Asia would renew alliances, capitalise on economic possibilities and allow him to escape the gravitational pull of the strife-torn Middle East. But it has proved to be a hard balancing act, for example when frostiness between China and Japan makes it clear that Washington remains on the latter’s side. Defense secretary Chuck Hagel, a champion of the technique, resigned just over a year ago.

The CSIS’s follow-up to a 2012 study says the US should continue its three historically interrelated interests in Asia and the Pacific: protecting America and its allies; promoting trade; and supporting democracy. The report also calls for the formation of a standing US joint task force for the western Pacific, based on the advice of numerous military and civilian leaders. “The risks associated with major combat operations in the Asia-Pacific theater place a premium on preexisting command relationships.”

Japan, the world’s third biggest economy, is cited as a critical US ally in the region, but the report finds that the countries lack coordination to respond to a fast-moving crisis. “The authors encountered concern in both Tokyo and Washington that the command and control arrangements are not sufficient for the type of complex, high-intensity warfare that the allies must be prepared to conduct.”

The study also notes the geopolitical effects of China’s economic growth. “The course charted by China’s reemergence as a great power over the next few decades shows the primary strategic challenge for the United States and for the Asian security landscape writ large.

“If China’s economic, army, and geopolitical influence continues to rise at even a modest pace during this period, the world will witness the largest shift in the global supply of power since the rise of the United States in the late nineteenth and early twentieth centuries ... Moreover, if China surpasses the United States as the world’s biggest economy in the next 10 to 15 years, it will mark the first time in centuries that the world’s economic leader will be non-English speaking, non-Western, and non-democratic. “Of course, these are some major ‘ifs’.”

The study, “Asia-Pacific Rebalance 2025: Capabilities, Presence, and Partnerships” was led by the CSIS’s Mike Green, Kath Hicks and Mark Cancian.


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